Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.208019 0.241529 0.278752 0.323177 0.374775 0.432843 0.503198
2025-05-04 0.157637 0.202876 0.258526 0.332077 0.426856 0.545065 0.704008
2025-05-11 0.128844 0.177916 0.242645 0.334399 0.461389 0.631379 0.876992
2025-05-18 0.107676 0.157450 0.226942 0.331237 0.484251 0.701268 1.033857
2025-05-25 0.090130 0.138464 0.209333 0.321074 0.493490 0.750570 1.165214
2025-06-01 0.081020 0.130110 0.205324 0.329299 0.529474 0.841711 1.369084
2025-06-08 0.072100 0.120546 0.197805 0.330401 0.553539 0.916206 1.555108
2025-06-15 0.065655 0.113942 0.193855 0.336241 0.585233 1.005673 1.775938
2025-06-22 0.057945 0.104103 0.183161 0.329017 0.593343 1.055811 1.934551
2025-06-29 0.052084 0.096678 0.175575 0.325999 0.607949 1.118106 2.121521
2025-07-06 0.047764 0.091451 0.171164 0.327973 0.631482 1.198503 2.351109
2025-07-13 0.045753 0.090254 0.173897 0.343469 0.681999 1.334264 2.702989
2025-07-20 0.043310 0.088020 0.174583 0.355444 0.727868 1.467953 3.071256
2025-07-27 0.040817 0.085393 0.174221 0.365346 0.770961 1.601655 3.458116
2025-08-03 0.037833 0.081371 0.170553 0.367901 0.798985 1.707654 3.799796
2025-08-10 0.034612 0.076445 0.164424 0.364419 0.813552 1.786831 4.092825
2025-08-17 0.031090 0.070431 0.155287 0.353226 0.809707 1.825528 4.299434
2025-08-24 0.029577 0.068704 0.155232 0.362284 0.852489 1.972393 4.775079
2025-08-31 0.027605 0.065688 0.151951 0.363497 0.877170 2.080761 5.173013
2025-09-07 0.026179 0.063776 0.150955 0.369930 0.914934 2.223900 5.674334
2025-09-14 0.023943 0.059655 0.144337 0.361974 0.916610 2.280632 5.965803
2025-09-21 0.022205 0.056555 0.139812 0.358649 0.929422 2.366116 6.342547
2025-09-28 0.020934 0.054482 0.137566 0.360823 0.956555 2.490732 6.839206